Yummy Bear (9) has consistently run some of the fastest races, but he’s had his chances at this level and seems likely to once again find or two horses that are just a bit faster than him. I’m using him in exotics, but prefer others on top. All Systems Go seemed like the most likely winner, but his scratch leaves this race open to some other contenders. Battle in Seattle (12) has to be considered after showing some class in France, especially given Graham Motion's positive numbers with this move.

However, one potential caveat with many of the shorter prices is the overall lack of pace in this race. The Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring horses on or near the lead. Dirt performers Septimius Severus and Blessed Halo have speed, but are not guaranteed to show that form on the turf. Therefore, I want to give a look to MR. BRIX (1). While this gelding has raced primarily on turf recently, he’s actually run well on turf many times before. You can make the argument that his overall form has improved significantly since he last tried turf, and he’s run the best races of his career for this current barn. This stable does not have much experience with turf runners in general, but Mr. Brix figures to get sent from the rail with Kendrick Carmouche aboard. I think he’s a dangerous longshot to throw into the mix.

THE PLAY

Win/Place: 1
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 2,3,9,12