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Thumb_beertwitternew Mike Beer , Saratoga , 07/23/2017 , Race 5 - DRF Live Posted : Jul 23, 2017, 3:08 PM

Thebigfundamental thebigfavorite

Thebigfundamental has some things going for him in the upcoming 5th race.  He goes for top connections.  He has speed from the inside post.  He is lighlty raced with upside.  And he has won two races in a row by open lenghts, while many of his more accomplished rivals appear to be a bit off form.

That being said, he is being wildly overbet at his current 6/5 odds.  The fact is, if he doesn't improve again in this race - his first around two-turns - and any one of his main rivals show up with something close to their best effort, he is a very unlikely winner.  

Assuming the board doesn't change much in the final 10 minutes, it seems reasonable to try to beat Thebigfundamental in this race. I''l try to do it with Royal Posse and Doyouknowsomething.  

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