Three stakes on the Saturday card, including the initial running of the Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship which will go with a strong field of ten (#2 Ready for Rye ran in the Fall Highweight on Thursday and is scratched).
The Grade 3 Discovery for 3yos is the headliner. Only six entered that nine-furlong dirt route but with all of them sporting a top Beyer between 89 and 95, it appears to be open to a lot of different results.
Earlier in the day fillies and mares will travel 1 1/16 miles on turf in the $150k Forever Together. Seven are entered there, led by Shug's My Impression and the Chad Brown pair of Elysea's World and Penjade.
Working backward, Senior Investment looks like the horse to beat in the Discovery. Not that he doesn't still have something to prove, but he has shown some ability as a dirt router for Kenny McPeek and his form is dirtied up a bit by recent turf and synthetic races following his runs in the last two legs of the Triple Crown.
Bonus Points has improved for Pletcher and exits a big win over the distance at Laurel, where he was facing Maryland-breds. He, too, is a closer but there appears to be enough speed in the field to project at least a fair pace.
Control Group has more tactical speed than either Senior Investment or Bonus Points, and he has really improved since being claimed by Rudy Rodriguez. He is four-for-four in two-turn dirt routes since Rudy took over, including a pair of wins over this distance at Saratoga, and it's not like this year's Discovery represents a huge step up in class for him.
In the Turf Sprint Championship, I was looking forward to giving Ready for Rye one more chance as a turf sprinter. Since he elected to go back to dirt instead, I will take the turn back Conquest Panthera, who is better in shorter one-turn races than he is going longer.
Buccero is dropping out of the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint where he actually ran very well to finish a close 4th at a big price. One start prior to that he returned to turf for the first time this year to upset the Grade 2 Woodford at Keeneland.
The dangerous Jason Servis has entered two, and while Summation Time will be more fancied than Rainbow Heir, I'll be fading the former and using the latter.
Summation Time did improve to win his first start off the trainer change to Servis last month with a 98 Beyer, but he was handed an easy lead in that race.
The concern for Rainbow Heir is that his form has tailed off a bit. But he was running races earlier this year that would make him very tough in this spot, and he will be a price.
I like Penjade in the Forever Together. She has really improved this year for Chad, and she acquitted herself well on the class rise last time while rallying into a slow pace, taking a bump while in the midst of that rally, and finishing gamely to make up ground all the way.
Her stablemate Elysea's World can win, and may even be the better horse of the two, but she has had her chances already and appears to have a little hang in her.
No real argument with My Impression as the horse to beat, and she ran well in the Athenia last time, though she did have a very nice trip in that race.