Nice card coming up at Aqueduct with another carryover in the pick six, this one in excess of $33k.  

There are three turf races on the card.  The courses are listed as firm.  

One of the turf races (Race 4) kicks off the pick six.  It is a MSW for 2yo NY-bred fillies set for one-mile.  

The ML favorite, Tizengaginglysmart, has done nothing wrong in her first two starts and enters with the top figure in the field, earned in her last start where she finished ahead of a couple of fillies she will meet again here.  

She is the horse to beat, but both of the fillies that finished behind her on October 18, Forever Daisy and Sardonyx, have a chance to turn the tables this time.  

They are both trained by David Donk, and they both spent the majority of that last race down toward the inside with at least some trouble.  

While Sardonyx may turn out to be the better horse, I'm betting Forever Daisy at a better price in this race. 

Forever Daisy landed what appeared to be a good trip in that race from early on, rating behind the pace in 4th while down on the rail.  She moved right in behind the leaders coming to the stretch, while appearing to have run, but couldn't get clear and was shuffled back as the outside flow started in that race.  She was quickly out of contention after that and finished 9th, but that effort may not be as bad as it looks.  She has tactical speed from her inside post which could lead to a better trip in this race, and she's 12/1 on the ML.  

The 6th is a turf sprint for older fillies and mares.  I looked to closers, as this field contains some speed drawn to the outside, and the TimeformUS Pace Projector, while not designating it a Fast Pace, indicates that it will be competitive, at the very least.  

China Rider benefits from that kind of scenario, assuming it develops that way, as she is best as a midpack-closing sprinter. 

Sister Sophia is also a closing sprinter with races that are plenty good enough to win here, and she exits a pretty impressive last to first win in her most recent start.  

One horse I'm using at a price is Fly By.  She is a question mark sprinting, but I liked her first two races quite a bit, and am not giving up on her yet, despite a pair if poor running lines showing for her two most recent races.  In her defense, they tried a graded stakes race with her off short rest two starts back, and she had a ridiculous trip last time while held up back off a slow pace and racing wide.  

I sided with the logical Mr. Buff in the featured 8th race, though I am not opposed to the well-bred Westwood moving forward once again in this spot.  

Forest Blue is the other main contender, but I'll likely stick with the two noted above in the pick four.  

The finale features a couple of interesting first-time starters, but they will have to be pretty good assuming that Gio d'Oro shows up with the same race he ran on debut, where he finished a close 2nd to next-out stakes winner Sea Foam while earning a Beyer above par for the level.  

The firsters Curlin's Legacy and, especially, Empire Line are the most likely upsetters.  

Empire Line was a pretty pricey $180k purchase after a 10.1 breeze back in May.  He has some quality in his pedigree, and his trainer, George Weaver, is actually underrated with his 2yo first-time starters.  

Curlin's Legacy has much more of a route pedigree.  What he really has going for him is his trainer, Jeremiah Englehart, who has had a terrific 2017 with his 2yos (18 wins), and with his first-time starters (8 wins, 7 of those with 2yos).