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Thumb_beertwitternew Mike Beer , Aqueduct , 03/23/2018 - DRF Live Posted : Mar 23, 2018, 11:24 AM

Aqueduct Friday preview

There is a carryover from Sunday of $20,599 in the pick six. The sequence begins in race #4.  

In that first leg, I would lean on #3 Sugar Curl and #5 My Rose of Savanna. The former is a second-time starter for Linda Rice, who routinely gets major improvement from her maidens after a race. Sugar Curl is also dropping in class after chasing a couple of decent horses in her Laurel debut.  

My Rose of Savanna has only sprinted vs. maiden claimers on a fast track once in her four-race career, that came in her career debut, and she ran quite well that day while earning a competitive figure. She is turning back for this after confirming her dislike of a wet track over a mile last month.  

#8 Gia Michael can win but if I use a backup it will likely be #7 Just Bling It, who makes her second career start for Rudy after contesting a fast pace and just getting nailed in her debut, which came over a muddy track.

In the 5th I prefer #4 Ultimateenticement, second off the layoff after chasing over a sloppy track in his first start back. He ran very well to get the best of a pace duel in his NY debut last summer at Saratoga, and he returned to post a solid win from off the pace in his next start. He will be adding blinkers for this race, which I'm not sure I love, but I do think he is eligible to really improve. #3 Morning Breez is the horse to beat dropping out of several stakes races where he acquitted himself well.  He will also be adding blinkers for this, and he has speed. #1 Analyze Your Luck can do better second off the layoff for Pletcher after getting outrun behind Morning Breez in the slop in his first start of the year.  He is very lightly-raced and will not have to improve much upon the 67 Beyer he earned in his second, and final, start as a 2yo.   

In the 6th, an MSW for NY-bred filly sprinters, #2 Starlite Mission and #9 Cartwheel are logical. Of those two I prefer the latter but am giving #8 Walk of Fame another chance here as she makes her second career start.  She did not break well from the gate in her first start, which was contested over a sealed racetrack that was strongly favoring the rail, and she raced in traffic for a long way while taking plenty of dirt. Firsters #4 Take Charge Aubrey (half to a couple of winners from a dam who was a Grade 1 sprinter) and #12 Camorra (Pletcher) are interesting, especially if they take money.  

In race #7 I took Rudy's second-time starter, #7 Letmetakethiscall, who made a nice debut while taking pressure on the lead before prevailing over an odds-on favorite last month. Rudy has very good numbers with debut winners returning for their second career start, especially in dirt sprints. #6 My Roxy Girl is solid, if not spectacular, and #3 Cryinthemoonlight can rebound to a better race here as she turns back to sprint for the first time since her maiden win, for which she earned a competitive figure.  

In the 8th #7 Can You Diggit is 7/5 on the morning line, and he is the horse to beat. He is far from the scariest short-priced favorite in the world, but he is dropping out of three straight stakes tries and his typical race will make him tough. Rudy has two worthwhile alternatives to the favorite in #1 Nobody Move and #4 Uncle SighNobody Move is interesting mostly because he is first off the claim for Rudy in a dirt route. If you use Formulator you know why he is dangerous. Uncle Sigh finished just behind Can You Diggit in the Haynesfield Stakes last time, but he looked good winning his first start off the Rudy claim two back while reaffirming his ability over dirt. 

The 9th is a difficult race for maiden claiming 3yo fillies. I would be happy to get alive to #4 Jurere, #5 Megalopsychia, and #8 Formal Event.   

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