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Thumb_mb_headshot Matt Bernier , Churchill Downs , 05/05/2018 , Race 12 - DRF Live Posted : May 5, 2018, 5:58 PM

Value Line for Kentucky Derby 144

1) Firenze Fire 99-1
2) Free Drop Billy 32-1
3) Promises Fulfilled 49-1
4) Flameaway 32-1
5) Audible 12-1
6) Good Magic 12-1
7) Justify 6-1
8) Lone Sailor 32-1
9) Hofburg 12-1
10) My Boy Jack 24-1
11) Bolt d'Oro 10-1
12) Enticed 49-1
13) Bravazo 99-1
14) Mendelssohn 6-1
15) Instilled Regard 32-1
16) Magnum Moon 24-1
17) Solomini 99-1
18) Vino Rosso 19-1
19) Noble Indy 24-1
20) Combatant 32-1

This value line is slightly different than the one I'd initally made and used on my preview show Friday because of the rain. The main track is a complete wild card at this point - it wouldn't surprise me if someone wired the field, and it wouldn't surprise me if it was a staggerfest late. I wouldn't be shocked to see the favorites dominate, and I also wouldn't be shocked to see a wild upset. I'll stick with my pick of MENDELSSOHN (14) to win, but that's said without much confidence.

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