Lady Bergen (3) is obviously the horse to beat in this spot at what figures to be an awfully short price. She has simply been running the fastest speed figures, and has done so against tougher company. Starship Reina, who beat her last time, is a solid sprinter for Jorge Navarro, and she was also beaten by two classier fillies in the Xtra Heat two back. It's somewhat of a concern that she doesn't run very often, but it would be unwise to overly scrutinize the plans of Jason Servis, who has continued to win races at Saratoga. The only thing that could potentially get her beat is early pace pressure, since Sandy Belle to her inside has plenty of early speed.

I'm hoping that BABY BOSS (4) can revert to the rating tactics that she sometimes employs, and sits just off the early leaders. Baby Boss has been running on turf recently, but this switch back to dirt intrigues me. This filly earned a solid speed figure when she won that stakes back in April, and it's conceivable that she may have improved since then. While some might argue that she regressed in the Bouwerie next time out, I believe the opposite is true. This filly ran incredibly well that day, as she contested an honest pace, put away her main early rival, and hung on gamely until the final sixteenth. It's also worth noting that the rail appeared to be dead that day, and Baby Boss appeared to lose momentum when she drifted down inside late in a race that was dominated by outside closers. While I think she's better on dirt, her recent turf efforts are actually both pretty encouraging, and I think she's going to give a solid account of herself in this spot.