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Thumb_privman Jay Privman , Churchill Downs , 11/03/2018 , Race 8 - DRF Live Posted : Nov 3, 2018, 3:16 PM

Breeders' Cup Mile preview: Oscar Performance has pace edge, Mustashry intrigues at a price

The controversial scratch of Polydream has left the upcoming Mile even more wide open that it appeared at first glance.

Oscar Performance (5) looks to have a pace advantage, so he's absolutely a use, and early betting indicates the public agrees, as he is favored at 3-1.

I thought both of Sir Michael Stoute's runners were intriguing. Expert Eye (7) is the more obvious of the two, with Group 1 placings in two of his last three starts in Europe. But I thought Mustashry (14) had a look at a price. He's a gelding, so he can't run in Group 1 races overseas, and he comes into this race off a pair of Group 2 wins. The fact Stoute is bringing her him along when he already has Expert Eye -- even though they are for different clients -- piques my interest. So does his current 16-1 price.

I'm against Analyze It (12), who is one of six horses currently less than 10-1 but who appears to be not as sharp as he was earlier in the year.

I don't know what to make of Next Shares (2). He's come alive since coming to Kentucky, so he has to be respected off those races, but it's hard for me to get past that he was clearly inferior to Catapult in California earlier this year.

I Can Fly (8) ran a terrific race behind Roaring Lion last time out and is also an attractive price at 12-1.

I don't think Divisidero (15) is as good as he once was but he's returning to his favorite course and is 31-1.

Catapult (10) is 6-1, but I think he's been beating inferior in California and it's tough to back John Sadler at the moment the way Selcourt and Catalina Cruiser performed earlier today to bring his BC record to 0 for 43.

The gamble for me is Mustashry, with Oscar Performance the obvious, solid one to beat.

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