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Thumb_mb_headshot Matt Bernier , Fair Grounds , 02/16/2019 , Race 11 - DRF Live Posted : Feb 16, 2019, 6:18 PM

Thoughts, Value Line for Rachel Alexandra

1) Molto Bella 9/2
2) Street Band 19-1
3) Serengeti Empress 12-1
4) Positive Spirit 9/2
5) Liora 19-1
6) Oxy Lady 9/2
7) Bell's the One SCR
8) Eres Tu 6-1
9) Needs Supervision 6-1

Some thoughts on the upcoming Rachel Alexandra...

- I think the water gets considerably deeper for the fillies exiting the Silverbulletday (NEEDS SUPERVISION (9), ERES TU (8), LIORA (5)); of those three, I much prefer the outside two, simply from a running style standpoint

- MOLTO BELLA (1) was visually strong winning the Gasparilla at Tampa most recently, but I've got a funny feeling she's going to be significantly better going one-turn as opposed to two

- POSITIVE SPIRIT (4) is logical in here, and a replica of her Demoiselle makes her the horse to beat this afternoon; she seems to relish added ground, but I do wonder if this is a means to an end for her and her connections - perhaps just a starting off point?

- I like OXY LADY (6) for Jack Sisterson; I was a bit skeptical of her Tempted, but I thought she at least made it seem plausible with a solid enough effort in the Starlet at Los Al on 12/8; those fillies are considerably better than the ones she'll face today, and Los Al is a very quirky track - some horses get over it great, and others flounder

 

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