Five races in at Oaklawn and it is plainly obvious that the inside is best avoided on the sloppy main track.

Things can always change. Track biases can be fleeting. But with the way Oaklawn has played so far, jockey Jose Ortiz has some work to do if he is to give Improbable a helpful trip in the Arkansas Derby (race 11). Improbable, of course, breaks from post 1 in the field of 11.