The Cake Is a Lie (1) and Loose (5) should vie for favoritism here, but I’m not enamored with either of them at short prices. Loose, in particular, seems like a bad bet. Her published past performances make her appear more talented than she actually is. S was a weak second in a 4-horse field last time and beat up on a pitiful group in her prior start. The Cake Is a Lie appears to be dropping in class, but she met a below par field in that allowance race last time and benefitted from the slow early pace.

There are two horses that interest me in this race, and both should be solid prices. SOXY RUBY (7) has run better than it appears in each of her last two starts. She was shuffled out of position two back, and then compromised by a slow pace last time. She fits at this level and may appreciate the switch to Belmont, given her running style. DA WILDCAT GIRL (6) is another that has been pace-compromised recently. She was basically eased two back when overmatched in the Xtra Heat, and didn’t run much worse than Loose in that Apr. 20 race.

THE PLAY

Win: 6,7
Exacta: 6,7 with 1,5,6,7