It’s difficult to know where the center of this race is, as you can make valid cases for just about any of the six competitors. You Know Too (4) and Treble (2) come in from out of town and figure to attract support. You Know Too has arguably kept the best company, and she’s an interesting turnback given how well she ran sprinting early in her career. I’m using her. Treble has run some of the fastest speed figures in this field, and she even earned a Grade 3 placing two back. However, you have to be somewhat concerned about her last race, where she completely fell apart at Gulfstream Park. I think it’s worth noting that she was a shipper that day, and she’s shipping out of Kentucky for this race. Luz Mimi (3) has consistently run well for Jeremiah Englehart, but she may be pace-compromised in this spot.

I’m going to try to get QUICK RELEASE (1) to wire this field from the rail. There just is not that much early speed in this race, and the Pace Projector is predicting that Quick Release can be well clear in the early going in a situation favoring the front-runner. I know that others appear to be classier, but this filly has really improved in recent starts. While she finished last of five last time, I thought she didn’t have the easiest trip, dueling inside through fast fractions over a wet racetrack. Trainer Mike Dini has quietly been doing very well with the horses he has brought to NYRA this year. Over the past 90 days on this circuit, he is 3 for 15 (20 percent, $7.70 ROI), and remarkably, 11 of those runners finished in the money despite most of them being longshots.