The two fillies likely to attract the most support are Miss Mimosa (1) and Tigalalu (2). The former tries to stretch back out in distance after disappointing as the favorite sprinting last time. It’s possible that she needed that race after getting two months away from the races, but the tote support that she garnered would suggest otherwise. She ran well going a mile two back, but did so against a particularly weak field for the level. There are no starts in this lineup either, but I’m somewhat skeptical about her handling this group going 9 furlongs. Tigalalu inspires a bit more confidence going this distance, since she finished a decent third going this far last time when meeting a more accomplished crew. The winner of that race, Alberobello, looks bound for stakes, and all the runners chasing her were hindered by a speed-biased surface. Tigalalu ran a speed figure in her debut that would make her competitive here and I think she’s probably the horse to beat.

Perhaps it’s not wise to look beyond the favorites in this spot, but I’m somewhat intrigued by STORMY'S SONG (4) stretching out in distance. This filly has to be frustrating for her connections, as she showed plenty of ability when winning her debut at Belmont last year but they’ve had trouble figuring out what exactly she does best ever since then. It originally appeared that she might be a dirt sprinter, but she’s proven that she’s not quite fast enough to keep up with the type of speedy fillies that usually show up in those races. Some turf experiments yielded mixed results, so now they’re trying something new: two turns on the dirt. While she’s never gone this far, she was tested over a mile in her second career start, and it was actually one of the best races of her career. The early pace of that race was legitimate, and she did well to hang on for third behind the improving Divine Miss Grey. Looking through that field, horses that were involved in the pace of that June 30 race did well in subsequent starts. Stormy’s Song is a big, rangy filly who gives the impression that she should want more ground. Her undoing in shorter races is that she’s been unable to get into an early rhythm as others go too quickly for her, so perhaps a slower pace will allow her to attain her preferred position up on the pace and keep on going.