The winner of the $100,000 El Camino Real Derby on Saturday at Golden Gate Fields earns an all-expenses-paid berth in the Preakness Stakes. This year’s mile and one-eighth El Camino is the 10th renewal since GG switched to a synthetic surface in 2010.

Notes and stats, from 2010 forward …

Daddy Nose Best, 2012 El Camino winner, is the only El Camino starter to run in the Preakness. After finishing 10th in the Kentucky Derby, he finished ninth in the Preakness.

Northern California-based runners are 1-for-35 in the El Camino; Southern California-based runners are 8-for-41. Anothertwistafate (4), based in Northern California, is 5-2 second choice this afternoon.

Kingly (9), based in Southern California, is 2-1 favorite. Kingly is just the second El Camino starter without a previous start on turf or synthetic. In the 2017 El Camino, dirt-starts-only Sheer Flattery finished last as 5-2 second choice.

El Camino Real favorites are 3-for-9.

The median win payoff (half higher, half lower) on synthetic is $10.20.

Jonathan Wong, trainer of 20-1 Mayor Cobb (13) is now just one of three U.S. trainers with a 30-percent win rate from 50 or more starts. Wong’s 2019 stats: 32 wins from 94 starts, 34 percent, $2.37 ROI. The only U.S. trainer with a higher win rate this year from 50+ starts is East Coast-based Jason Servis (23-for-62, 37 percent).

If all 13 start, the 2019 El Camino will tie for the largest synthetic-surface field. The 2016 field also had 13, won by favorite Frank Conversation.

Jeff Bonde trained 2015 upset winner Metaboss ($15.20). Bonde returns this year with King of Speed (2).

At 10-1 on the line, turf specialist King of Speed is this handicapper’s choice to spring an off-the-pace upset in his first try on synthetic. Wagering strategy: win wager No. 2 King of Speed, saver exactas Kingly and Anothertwistafate over King of Speed (4, 9 with 2).

Post time for the El Camino Real Derby, race 7, is listed at 3:54 PT.